Ok so I'm an Obama supporter but I don't see how Clinton can win the nomination without the help of super delegates, my logic below. I have Hillary winning every single except Vermont contest and many by margins of up to 16%. Let me make clear that I don't think that theres a snowballs chance in hell Hillary will win all these contests let alone with these margins I gave her however I'm offering up her best case scenario. The Delegate counts appear to the right of the percentages.
State Clinton Obama
Ohio 53%(75) 47%(66)
Rhode Island 58%(12) 42%(9)
Texas 54%(100) 46%(93)
Vermont 44%(7) 56%(8)
Wyoming 58%(7) 42%(5)
Mississippi 58%(19) 42%(14)
Pennsylvania 58%(92) 42%(66)
Guam 58%(2) 42%(2)
Indiana 58%(42) 42%(30)
North Carolina 51%(59) 42%(56)
West Virginia 58%(16) 42%(12)
Kentucky 58%(30) 42%(21)
Oregon 58%(30) 42%(22)
Montana 58%(9) 42%(7)
South Dakota 58%(9) 42%(6)
Puerto Rico 58%(32) 42%(23)
Even after adding ALL of these numbers for her she still trails Badly in the delegate count to Obama the numbers come out to...
1,632 for Obama and 1,577 (51%-49%) for Clinton assuming you believe the current delegate count is 1,192 Obama and 1,036 for Clinton. Even if she wins Vermont she only picks up 1 more delegate. Looking at the numbers the ONLY way Hillary can win is to overrule the pledged delegate count by convincing the super delegates to side with her.
So to recap given Hillary's best case scenario she still comes up short 59 delegates to Obama. All Obama needs to do is keep it close as he has done in almost every single contest. To date Hillary has only been able to win a state by 16% or more 3 times. I find it highly unlikely she'll be able to do this for the 90% of the remaining states...
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